Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.033162 0.038769 0.044948 0.052250 0.060632 0.069939 0.081043
2025-06-29 0.023731 0.030741 0.039201 0.050116 0.063771 0.080235 0.101527
2025-07-06 0.017997 0.025533 0.035383 0.049095 0.067561 0.091426 0.124432
2025-07-13 0.015180 0.023318 0.034719 0.051658 0.075941 0.109201 0.157836
2025-07-20 0.012872 0.021255 0.033757 0.053447 0.083275 0.126262 0.192237
2025-07-27 0.010399 0.018399 0.031059 0.052121 0.085708 0.136443 0.217832
2025-08-03 0.008655 0.016325 0.029146 0.051567 0.089024 0.148040 0.246524
2025-08-10 0.007091 0.014228 0.026801 0.049862 0.090118 0.156103 0.270343
2025-08-17 0.005912 0.012580 0.024923 0.048595 0.091639 0.164816 0.295858
2025-08-24 0.005123 0.011512 0.023892 0.048624 0.095302 0.177318 0.328716
2025-08-31 0.004321 0.010255 0.022290 0.047327 0.096336 0.185274 0.354371
2025-09-07 0.004008 0.009970 0.022540 0.049603 0.104239 0.206109 0.404629
2025-09-14 0.003501 0.009170 0.021643 0.049523 0.107717 0.219429 0.442967
2025-09-21 0.002964 0.008192 0.020209 0.048118 0.108385 0.227540 0.472408
2025-09-28 0.002563 0.007457 0.019191 0.047448 0.110452 0.238516 0.508328
2025-10-05 0.002425 0.007366 0.019637 0.050098 0.119844 0.264886 0.576790
2025-10-12 0.002249 0.007140 0.019723 0.051924 0.127635 0.288701 0.642165
2025-10-19 0.001937 0.006464 0.018584 0.050675 0.128392 0.297949 0.678491
2025-10-26 0.001703 0.005958 0.017794 0.050156 0.130741 0.310750 0.723296
2025-11-02 0.001455 0.005351 0.016626 0.048504 0.130197 0.317165 0.754954
2025-11-09 0.001258 0.004856 0.015678 0.047274 0.130505 0.325456 0.791342
2025-11-16 0.001128 0.004555 0.015226 0.047306 0.133935 0.341112 0.845343
2025-11-23 0.000977 0.004136 0.014353 0.046042 0.133901 0.348703 0.881664